Hurricane & Weather Dashboard
Real-time tracking, storm preparedness, and response resources for the Caribbean and beyond
Live Weather & Storm Tracking
Powered by Windy.com — Real-time satellite, radar, and forecast data
NOAA's Climate Prediction Center has issued an El Niño Watch. There is an 82% chance El Niño develops by mid-2026, with a 96% probability it continues through winter 2026-2027. Sea surface temperatures in the central-eastern Pacific are above average.
What is El Niño?
El Niño is a warming of the central-eastern Pacific Ocean that occurs every 2-7 years. It increases wind shear in the Atlantic, which can suppress hurricane formation. However, it often brings heavier rainfall to the Americas and can shift storm tracks unpredictably.
What is La Niña?
La Niña is the opposite — a cooling of Pacific waters. It typically results in MORE active Atlantic hurricane seasons with reduced wind shear, warmer Atlantic waters, and more favorable conditions for tropical cyclone development.
Impact on Hurricane Season
La Niña Years → More Hurricanes
Average: 15.4 named storms, 7.5 hurricanes
El Niño Years → Fewer Hurricanes
Average: 11.8 named storms, 5.2 hurricanes
2026 Forecast: Slightly Below Normal
CSU projects 13 named storms, 6 hurricanes, 2 major. El Niño may suppress peak activity.
Tropical Storm Watch
Tropical storm conditions (39-73 mph winds) possible within 48 hours.
Review evacuation plans. Prepare supplies.
Tropical Storm Warning
Tropical storm conditions EXPECTED within 36 hours.
Complete preparations. Secure property.
Hurricane Watch
Hurricane conditions (74+ mph winds) possible within 48 hours.
Prepare for possible evacuation. Final supply runs.
Hurricane Warning
Hurricane conditions EXPECTED within 36 hours.
EVACUATE if ordered. Shelter in place if not.
Storm Surge Watch
Life-threatening coastal flooding possible within 48 hours.
Know your zone. Prepare to move to higher ground.
Extreme Wind Warning
Extreme sustained winds of 115+ mph IMMINENT (within 1 hour).
Take shelter IMMEDIATELY in interior room.
| Classification | Wind Speed | Storm Surge | Expected Damage |
|---|---|---|---|
Tropical Depression | < 39 mph (< 63 km/h) | N/A | Minimal |
Tropical Storm | 39–73 mph (63–118 km/h) | N/A | Moderate flooding |
Category 1 | 74–95 mph (119–153 km/h) | 4–5 ft (1.2–1.5 m) | Some damage to roofs, gutters, trees |
Category 2 | 96–110 mph (154–177 km/h) | 6–8 ft (1.8–2.4 m) | Extensive damage, power loss for days/weeks |
Category 3 | 111–129 mph (178–208 km/h) | 9–12 ft (2.7–3.7 m) | Devastating — structural damage to homes |
Category 4 | 130–156 mph (209–251 km/h) | 13–18 ft (4.0–5.5 m) | Catastrophic — severe structural damage |
Category 5 | 157+ mph (252+ km/h) | 18+ ft (5.5+ m) | Total destruction of residential areas |
BEFORE the Storm
DURING the Storm
AFTER the Storm
Need a full disaster action plan?
Our Preparedness & Response Guide covers 7 sectors with step-by-step checklists for every disaster phase.